Justin Upton

The Winter Meetings started today and the Braves' left fielder will definitely be a hot topic of discussion. The Braves already traded slick fielding outfielder Jason Heyward in a deal for Shelby Miller, but signed another great outfielder in Nick Markakis. Justin Upton's name has been fluttered around in trade discussions so far this off season. Many thought the Braves were in on the Yasmany Tomas sweepstakes and if they signed the Cuban slugger Justin Upton would be on the move. The Diamondbacks ended up signing Tomas, so now the question for the Braves is whether or not to trade Justin Upton.

Justin Upton will be a free agent after the 2015 season and will be just 28 years old next season. Upton was already traded once (by the Diamondbacks after the 2012 season), and the Braves definitely won the trade. Being one of the best young players in the game, Upton can fetch a large payout in a trade and will be in store for a large pay day whether it be through an extension or free agency.  

Since 2011 Upton has been constantly healthy playing in at least 149 games each season, and has hit for both power and average. His stolen base total has decrease dramatically since being traded to the Braves, but his other statistics have remained consistent except for strikeout percentage. In his final two seasons with the Diamondbacks Upton had a strikeout percentage of 19%. In the two seasons he has spent with the Braves his strikeout percentage has gone up to 26%, which means he is striking out on average once per game.

Besides the problem with the strike outs, Justin Upton can be very valuable to a team seeking a powerful bat. His slashline over the last three seasons is .271/.350/.462 equating to an OPS+ of 122. The Braves are very short on pitching, but they already traded one of their young outfielders, would they be willing to trade another? One theory that has been tossed around is using Evan Gattis in left field while letting catching prospect Christian Bethancourt get a chance behind the plate, but the Braves would definitely miss Upton's power.

Possible landing spots for Upton could be Seattle, Baltimore, San Francsico, and San Diego. The Braves will be seeking young pitchers who are ready or already established at a Major League level. The Mariners and Orioles have these pitchers in the form of Taijuan Walker, James Paxton, and Kevin Gausman. The only other outfield sluggers left on the market are Melky Cabrera, Matt Kemp,  Alex Rios, and a defensively challenged Micheal Morse. As more names come off the board, Upton will be in higher demand.
 

Player Profile: Daniel Murphy

Daniel Murphy played his way to his first All Star appearance in 2014, but he is underrated in many respects given his position. Murphy is a below average defensive second baseman, but his value comes with the fact that he can play multiple positions. In 2014 Murphy logged innings at third base and first base, and has experience playing left field. Daniel Murphy will never win and MVP and most likely will never win a gold glove award, but he can be a pivotal and important part of any team.

A comparable player to Daniel Murphy is Ben Zobrist, who is much more valuable than Murphy given the variety of positions and his high on base percentage he obtains every season and has much higher power numbers. Murphy is entering his age 30 season and his trade value may be higher than ever. He will be a free agent after the 2015 season so the Mets may be willing to trade him.

An important aspect of the game for non power hitting players is strikeout rate. Over the course of the past four seasons, Murphy has struck out just 12.8% of the time. Over the course of the last three seasons Murphy has played an average of 153 games, showing that he can remain healthy for an entire season and stay consistent. Over that same span of three seasons he posted a .288/.327/.407 slashline equating to a 107 OPS+. He can hit for some power (Average of 9 home runs and 38 doubles per season) and can swipe a few bags (Average of 15 per season). He reached career highs in home runs and stolen bases in 2013 when he hit 13 and swiped 23 respectively.

Daniel Murphy would make a lot of sense for a lot of different teams. Second base is a position that lacks good hitters. Although it is headlined by names like Robinson Cano, Jose Altuve, and Ian Kinsler, only about a third of the league has an OPS over .700. Competing teams like the Orioles, Blue Jays, and Diamondbacks may be interested in Murphy's services.